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All eyes will be on the western Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico over the next several days as we track the progress of Invest 99L.
A tropical depression is likely to form later today or on Friday, with the National Hurricane Center now placing 2-day development odds at 90% as of a special outlook sent at 4:05 a.m. CDT Thursday.
Unfortunately for us, guidance is starting to come into much better agreement on a potential threat to the Louisiana coastline by late Sunday into Monday. The so-called ‘spaghetti models’ are just about unanimous in showing that threat, as are the ‘global’ models, such as the GFS, Euro, and Canadian.
https://www.wafb.com/2021/08/26/tropical-depression-likely-form-strengthen-threaten-gulf-coast/